Predictive Text
Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Notes
Archive
About
Prediction markets on the US Cabinet
A list of the markets, to save you looking.
Nov 8
•
Nathan Young
2
Share this post
Predictive Text
Prediction markets on the US Cabinet
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
1
Most Popular
View all
“Why Did You Leave Christianity?”
Jul 6, 2020
•
Nathan Young
14
Share this post
Predictive Text
“Why Did You Leave Christianity?”
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
The World In 2029
Mar 2
•
Nathan Young
11
Share this post
Predictive Text
The World In 2029
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
Forecasting is mostly vibes. So is expertise
Jul 27
•
Nathan Young
9
Share this post
Predictive Text
Forecasting is mostly vibes. So is expertise
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
2
Death notes
Oct 28
•
Nathan Young
8
Share this post
Predictive Text
Death notes
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
Latest
Top
Discussions
Death notes
7 thoughts about death
Oct 28
•
Nathan Young
8
Share this post
Predictive Text
Death notes
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
Advice for journalists
Journalists, can I give you some advice?
Oct 7
•
Nathan Young
7
Share this post
Predictive Text
Advice for journalists
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
5
A new process for mapping discussions!
FindingConsensus.AI
Sep 29
•
Nathan Young
4
Share this post
Predictive Text
A new process for mapping discussions!
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
1
What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?
Recently, Nathan Young and I wrote about arguments for AI risk and put them on the AI Impacts wiki. In the process, we ran a casual little survey of the…
Published on AI Impacts blog
•
Sep 25
Pantheon is really good
If you like sci-fi or AI, I strongly recommend it
Aug 18
•
Nathan Young
8
Share this post
Predictive Text
Pantheon is really good
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
7
Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk
and polls on which are the most compelling
Published on AI Impacts blog
•
Aug 13
Truth-seeking projects I'm interested in
Epistemics
Aug 2
•
Nathan Young
2
Share this post
Predictive Text
Truth-seeking projects I'm interested in
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
2
Forecasting is mostly vibes. So is expertise
Surely you wouldn't make up an opinion?
Jul 27
•
Nathan Young
9
Share this post
Predictive Text
Forecasting is mostly vibes. So is expertise
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
2
AI and integrity
How do we reward good behaviour when it matters?
May 29
•
Nathan Young
1
Share this post
Predictive Text
AI and integrity
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
3
See all
Predictive Text
Forecasting, short stories, goodness
Subscribe
Recommendations
Astral Codex Ten
Scott Alexander
Comment is Freed
Sam Freedman
Knowingless
Aella
Slow Boring
Matthew Yglesias
Silver Bulletin
Nate Silver
Predictive Text
Subscribe
About
Archive
Recommendations
Sitemap
Share this publication
nathanpmyoung.substack.com
Predictive Text
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
Share
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts