Archive - Predictive Text

Prediction markets on the US Cabinet

A list of the markets, to save you looking.

Nov 8 •

October 2024

7 thoughts about death

Oct 28 •

Advice for journalists

Journalists, can I give you some advice?

Oct 7 •

September 2024

A new process for mapping discussions!

FindingConsensus.AI

Sep 29 •

What happens if you present 500 people with an argument that AI is risky?

Recently, Nathan Young and I wrote about arguments for AI risk and put them on the AI Impacts wiki. In the process, we ran a casual little survey of the…

Published on AI Impacts blog • Sep 25

August 2024

Pantheon is really good

If you like sci-fi or AI, I strongly recommend it

Aug 18 •

Ten arguments that AI is an existential risk

and polls on which are the most compelling

Published on AI Impacts blog • Aug 13

Truth-seeking projects I'm interested in

Aug 2 •

July 2024

Forecasting is mostly vibes. So is expertise

Surely you wouldn't make up an opinion?

Jul 27 •

May 2024

AI and integrity

How do we reward good behaviour when it matters?

May 29 •

Questions are too cheap

The asymmetry between asking and answering

May 11 •

My Beautiful Bubble: The Song

From the AI-assisted mind of Nathan Young

Published on Bet On It • May 7

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